The trouble in Northern Ireland is known as a mixed bag by those that work in Justice realms and have an insight into Policing itself. It cannot be determined what is at play to begin with. What can be looked at is who’s involved and what motive they have for being there.
Unfortunately, if there is a bigger picture it’s usually guided by powerful figures like Politicians who have such agendas. They get to network in regimes that are uncommon to some of us in other roles. In their own mind it can then make sense to do it.
The wider point is who might be doing it, or, who else is focused on a place like Northern Ireland? It could be Russia or Iran, as Sir Mark Rowley is now widely known for having suggested. There are people in places overseas that may have such people on their agenda.
To point the finger of blame is not to suggest having found all of the culprits, but it’s a use of the best Intelligence and latest data that’s used in practice to determine if there’s involvement. We know a line of inquiry can lead to another if the plan’s big enough.